As Congress prepares to certify President-elect Donald Trump’s Electoral College victory on Monday, January 6, 2025, attention shifts to the roughly 1,500 individuals charged in connection with the January 6, 2021, Capitol riot. Many of these defendants are awaiting clarity on whether Trump will fulfill his pledge to pardon or commute their sentences upon his return to office.
Largest Justice Department Investigation in History
More than 1,580 individuals have been charged in what remains the Justice Department’s largest investigation to date. Charges range from nonviolent misdemeanors to serious felonies, including the use of dangerous weapons against law enforcement and conspiracy to disrupt the peaceful transfer of power.
To date, over 1,000 defendants have pleaded guilty, 220 have been convicted at trial, and hundreds have completed their prison sentences. However, federal authorities are still pursuing additional suspects, including at least five fugitives.
“The Department continues to pursue those criminally culpable, especially those who assaulted law enforcement officers and disrupted the transfer of power,” the U.S. Attorney’s Office for Washington, D.C., stated.
Trump’s Pledge for Pardons
Trump has expressed his intention to pardon many Jan. 6 defendants, stating during a December interview with NBC’s Meet the Press that he is “inclined to pardon many,” though he acknowledged that some individuals may not qualify for clemency due to their actions.
Sympathetic to those he believes have “suffered long and hard,” Trump has criticized the Justice Department’s handling of the cases. His transition team, led by spokeswoman Caroline Leavitt, has accused the Department of “weaponizing” the judicial system against the defendants.
Legal Fallout and Clemency Challenges
The power to pardon federal crimes rests solely with the president, as enshrined in the Constitution. While previous administrations have worked closely with the Justice Department’s Office of the Pardon Attorney, Trump’s team has yet to outline a plan for reviewing clemency requests from hundreds of defendants.
Trump’s expected appointments of former Florida Attorney General Pam Bondi as Attorney General and former Defense official Kash Patel as FBI Director could influence the administration’s approach. Both have criticized the Jan. 6 prosecutions and have the authority to shape future investigative and clemency strategies.
Some Jan. 6 defendants have already sought to delay legal proceedings in anticipation of Trump’s promised pardons. In one notable case, a federal judge rejected a motion from Christopher Carnell, a defendant facing nonviolent charges, who claimed he expected clemency once Trump took office. Carnell was later convicted and sentenced to six months in prison.
Advocates Call for Clemency
Advocates for Jan. 6 defendants argue that many of the charges and sentences are excessively harsh. Families and supporters have lobbied for clemency, often gathering outside the D.C. jail where several defendants are held. Trump himself has amplified their calls, playing recordings of jailed defendants singing the National Anthem at his campaign rallies.
However, serious charges remain a contentious issue. Members of far-right groups like the Proud Boys and Oath Keepers were convicted of seditious conspiracy, with leaders Enrique Tarrio and Stewart Rhodes receiving sentences of 22 and 18 years, respectively. Defense attorneys have called for pardons, arguing that the charges were unwarranted.
A Divided Perspective
Federal judges overseeing the Jan. 6 cases have consistently condemned the attack and underscored the importance of justice. Senior Judge Royce Lamberth, a Reagan appointee, defended the judiciary’s handling of these cases, stating, “The true story of what happened on January 6, 2021, will never change.”
Prosecutors and former Justice Department officials have warned that pardoning Jan. 6 defendants could undermine the deterrent effect of the convictions and embolden future acts of political violence. Alexis Loeb, a former federal prosecutor involved in the Capitol riot investigations, argued that the prosecutions were based on substantial evidence, including extensive video footage.
“The facts fit the crimes,” Loeb said, cautioning that pardons would be “a real affront to the victims,” including law enforcement officers, members of Congress, and staff who were endangered during the riot.
Moving Forward
The Justice Department and federal courts face significant uncertainty regarding the future of these cases. Should Trump issue pardons, the cases will be closed, and defendants’ convictions will be expunged. Advocates like defense attorney Carmen Hernandez have suggested that a blanket commutation of sentences could serve as a starting point for clemency.
As Trump’s inauguration approaches, the nation awaits to see how he balances his promises of clemency with the need for accountability for one of the most significant breaches of the democratic process in U.S. history.