Concerns regarding the upcoming 2027 elections in Nigeria were heightened following two incidents on November 12. In London, Professor Joash Amupitan, Chairman of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), was detained in his car by protesters. Meanwhile, in Lagos, a group of thugs stormed a town hall meeting organized by supporters of the National Democratic Party (NDC).
During the protest in London, demonstrators expressed grievances over issues such as duplicate entries and unauthorized polling units in INEC’s preliminary voters’ register. They surrounded Amupitan’s vehicle, preventing him from leaving the venue of his presentation at Chatham House.
Amupitan acknowledged the protesters’ concerns, previously noting that over 1.6 million invalid voter registrations had been purged from the INEC database and that disciplinary actions were being considered against several individuals. His recognition of glitches in election transmission also persists as a point of contention among voters.
A historical perspective reveals persistent patterns of electoral violence in Nigeria. The 2011 general elections were marred by extensive post-election rioting, resulting in over 200 fatalities. Recent years have seen a rise in violent attacks connected to political campaigns, with reports from various organizations indicating a growing number of election-related assaults.
Despite the threats of violence, a significant majority of Nigerians express a desire to cast their votes. A survey conducted by Yiaga Africa found that while 84% of eligible voters are eager to participate in the 2027 elections, approximately 61% harbor concerns for their personal safety due to the risk of election-related violence.
Experts argue that preventing further politicized violence requires a multi-faceted approach. This includes a stronger and more equitable response from law enforcement, as well as addressing the underlying support networks that fund violent actors. Additionally, enhancing transparency and public trust in the electoral process is vital; measures such as publishing an auditable voters’ register could help alleviate public anxiety.