Tunisia, Egypt . . . Is Nigeria next? By Prof. Rosaire Ifedi

Tunisia, Egypt . . . Is Nigeria next?
By Prof. Rosaire Ifedi

Rosaire Ifedi, USAfrica contributing editor

Special to USAfrica multimedia networks, Houston., CLASSmagazine, The Black Business Journal, USAfrica e-group and Nigeria360@yahoogroups e-group


Congratulations to the people of Egypt on a successfully-executed and peaceful revolution from the closing days of January into February 2011. Those days certainly stand in history as more than remarkable. The people’s tenacity but also the restraint of the military can both be equally lauded as the causative factors to the dawn of a new era in Egypt. Of course, there is still some baited breath as the future of this new democracy is far from being certain.

Skeptics are quick to point out Iran among others as unsuccessful revolutions. Even as other despots around the world hold on to power, the fear of who’s next is said to be creeping up on them, “them” being the rest of the Arab world. So why would I even throw Nigeria into this mix?
Over these past few days, the discussion on our lips about Egypt’s revolution has been captivating at times, apprehensive at others. We recall the pictures streaming into our living rooms: Prayers being said about the martyrs who died in the cause for freedom, the lone guy walking down the street suddenly gunned down, the young and old faces, thousands-strong crowds gathering every day in spite of warnings and curfews. They were all pictures of courage and selflessness. Mubarak’s 30-year reign finally came tumbling down after 18 days.


The dissent against Mubarak? Lack of free elections, staggering unemployment, immense poverty and seal these with this one: an amassed personal wealth (not worth since he didn’t earn it) said to be in the billions (of dollars).
Now we must be looking at the connections to other seemingly democratic states that are not, such as Nigeria. No ruler has had such a long-running stint in Nigeria, but certainly the other conditions hold true: So while there may not be the call for any despot to stepdown in Nigeria, the façade of a democracy must be something to be raised and examined.

The looting of treasuries in Nigeria is not limited to the federal level but trickles down to ministerial, gubernatorial, and legislative thievery. The oil-rich country seems cursed by her God-given gift. I have little time to recap the issues strangulating Nigeria. The terrorist clashes and religious intolerance continue.


Recently, public schools were shut down and children’s education stalled for months so that voter registration can take place! Suffice it to say that in spite of the goodness, entrepreneurship, and talents of much of Nigeria, this country as a nation remains backward-acting and regressive. Who am I to take that tangent when Nobel laureates and top academicians such as Prof. Wole Soyinka and Prof. Chinua Achebe have sufficiently spoken out on these issues?
The question of restoring democracy, freedoms, and the pursuit of happiness to the average Nigerian cannot be questioned. And so I repeat, “Is Nigeria next in this cascading movement for liberty and accountability?” To find answers, we turn to Nigerian voices young, old, in the country and in the Diaspora. Social media has been a revolution, in and of itself. I decided to pose this question to as many people as I could. One young respondent, a self-identified Nigerian American, was aghast at my question, stating quickly, “It would be a blood bath!” The military would have absolutely no such restraint as has been shown by the Egyptian military. It would be an avenue to settle scores.”

An older Nigerian-American was less shocked at my question but also stated emphatically, “No way would this happen in Nigeria. Did you not witness the solid one-force movement in Egypt? They came together as one regardless of creed, ethnicities, and religion.” Then she turned the question back to me: “Do you ever see Nigerians doing such a thing without breaking into the Yoruba, Igbo, Hausa, Igala, Efik, ethnic divides?” Even the so-called democratic structure of political organizations in Nigeria cannot withstand the regional and ethnic rivalries in seeming times of peace, what more in a challenging time of revolution. But then again, I thought to myself, one never knows what eventually triggers and galvanizes a people to come together and fight for their lives. Last year, listening to a presentation on Tunisia, I asked the presenter about the socioeconomics of the country and was told then that former President Ben Ali was on top of things. Well, history has proven otherwise.


One more thing, in my opinion, that endemically may never let Nigerians come together and fight for what rightly belongs to them and their children is greed. Simply stated, in the Nigerian culture, the prevailing sense of nationhood and consciousness is “Where’s my piece of the pie?” I can hardly see us going beyond individual selves to fight for the general good. With every change in regime, the idea of keeping despots accountable is quickly lost because the next group of leaders is looking out for “Me, Myself, and I.” How can genuine democratic freedoms come about in such stagnant and choking personal greed?

Nonetheless, maybe our younger generation of Nigerians (under 30’s) holds out muchneeded hope for Nigeria. For one, they are certainly connected on social media. They seem to exhibit more pride in the Nigeria nation than most of us (Age 30 and above). While we sometimes sound as if we’ve given up on our country, many of these younger ones have hope. And hope deferred is still hope.
•Ifedi, Assistant Professor of Education at Ashland University, Ohio, is acontributing editor of and CLASSmagazine. She is author of African-born Women Faculty in the U.S. : Lives in Contradiction (2008, EdwinMellen Press, New York). She has a blog at



USAfrica: As Egypt’s corrupter-in-chief Mubarak slides into history’s dustbin…. By Chido Nwangwu, Publisher of USAfrica, and first African-owned, U.S-based newspaper published on the internet





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  1. when you think about it Africa has a whole needs such a synchronized movement….its time for us as a people to stand up and do something about our circumstances.

  2. I think the notion that we Nigerians would never come together as one to fight for the greater good of the country is slightly erroneous. While acknowledging the divide caused by our ethnic, cultural and religious leanings, there is a growing class of Nigerians (from both the older-above 40years, and younger-below 30years, generations) who have had it up to here with the corrupt and inept leadership of the last 30 odd years.
    The major challenge facing an organised and peaceful demontration by the mass of Nigerians is that of coordination. People are actually ready for progressive change but…1. Seem unable to identify how to go about it…2.Seem unable to identify a competent leader…3. Seem unwilling to lay down their lives for the cause and 4….Seem unable to outsmart the 'cartel' of politicians and business men who have held the country ransom for 30 odd years. Emphasising this last point, this cartel is capable of whipping up ethno-religious sentiments anytime there is a serious organised threat to their fiefdom and the resulting chaos they cause is best left imagined! Unfortunately, the extreme levels of poverty in the land also make it difficult for the man on the street to think strategically, i.e beyond his (and his family's) next meal, making them easy prey for unscrupulous politicians. But, a revolution (peaceful or otherwise) is not completely impossible. Like the writer said, anything can trigger a mass protest which could easily escalate into a revolution. Time alone, will tell.

  3. nooooooooooooooo, Algeria should be the next. I would have happened in the days of Abacha, but now, nothing dey happen.

  4. Not in a million years. We do not have that uniting spirit and commonality that made the Tunisian and Egyptian cases very profound and successful. We are a very selfish and regional people, period.

  5. No revolution of the Egyptian type necessary in Nigeria.
    No one can stay and rule for more than 8 years without an uprising. Our patience is 8 years long not 30.
    The revolution we need is personal internal and and at the govt leve, there is already a silent one going on spearheaded by young, brilliant governors. The next level should be in the national assemble then the oil and gas sector/power. Then we can see more jobs more money. We don't need to push out any leader by force. How do you guarantee that those that will take over are not worse.
    We need, also, an industrial revolution but that has to be preceded by the power sector revolution. We're getting there bit by bit.

  6. Apathy is the main reason no revolution in Nigeria anytime soon.

  7. revolution will fail in nigeria reason nigeria is multy tribe, multy religion, and our president is serving only his second year in office. These and many other reasons make nigeria difrent


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